Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: October 9, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:

The equity markets witnessed extreme volatility this week, culminating in a spectacular Friday comeback. After suffering heavy losses earlier in the week—including a severe 1.6% crash on Thursday—the benchmark indices staged a massive relief rally on Friday. The Sensex surged nearly 880 points on the final trading day, helping the markets recover most of their weekly losses, driven by strong tech earnings and easing geopolitical fears.

Key Market Triggers

• Q2 Earnings & IT Sector Rally: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) kicked off the Q2 FY27 earnings season on a highly positive note, reporting a 4% QoQ rise in net profit to ₹13,884 crore. The stock jumped over 5.4%, triggering a massive short-covering rally across the Nifty IT index (which surged over 2.2% on Friday). Infosys and Tech Mahindra also saw heavy buying interest, brushing aside concerns over US Green Card program suspensions.
• Easing Geopolitical Tensions & Crude Oil: Global oil markets breathed a sigh of relief after reports indicated that the US would not initiate strikes against Iran ahead of the upcoming US elections, citing progress in diplomatic talks. Consequently, Brent crude fell back toward the $103.50 per barrel mark, significantly easing domestic inflation and import bill anxieties.
• FII Selling vs. Value Buying: Surging US Treasury yields continued to drain foreign capital from Asian equities throughout the week, causing the steep sell-off on Thursday. However, lower valuations attracted aggressive domestic value buying on Friday, particularly in FMCG (like ITC) and Banking heavyweights (like HDFC Bank).
  
  

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and Nifty IT index have outperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is up +0.09 percent.

The Nifty Index is up +0.44 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe

20   EMA - 22974

50   DMA - 23726

200 DMA - 24266

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels

Open - 22532.40

Low -   22179.90

High -  22776.10

Close - 22520.45

Nifty closed below 50 DMA, 50 EMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is negative -0.70 percent and Model 3 is positive +0.38 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -1.14 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +0.29 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -1.30 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In September 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned -2.9 percent, and -5.9 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -6.1 percent return.

In September 2026, the Nifty Long-Short is up +18.0 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2025-2026 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -11.18%, +16.88% and -9.53% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of -5.05%.

 

Year To Date - 2026

Models 1 and 3 returned +5.31 percent and -6.34 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -13.81 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -18.78 percent, compared to the Index's -13.81 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 243.09 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 108.47 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 476 percent on the capital and 881 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +149.19%, compared to 113.74% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 

Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.

________________________________________________________________________________________________

Looking to invest? You can find our terms of service here. Or you can write to us and we will get back to you