Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: September 25, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:

The equity markets extended their losing streak for a seventh consecutive week, marking the longest continuous weekly decline for Indian equities since the February–March 2020 Covid-19 crash. Although the benchmark indices managed a modest rebound on Friday, intense selling pressure earlier in the week—highlighted by a severe 1.5% market crash on Thursday—kept the broader structural trend firmly in the red.

Key Market Triggers

• Elevated Crude Oil & Geopolitics: Volatile crude prices, buoyed by the ongoing Middle East conflict and hopes for a US-Iran truce, kept market recovery capped. Concerns over inflation and the broader impact of energy costs on corporate margins remained intact.
• Global Yields & Outflows: High US bond yields and persistent foreign fund outflows continued to temper global risk appetite. These external pressures weighed heavily on emerging market currencies and drained secondary market liquidity.
• Thursday's Crash & Friday's Rebound: Markets suffered a steep drop on Thursday (crashing over 1.5%), but Friday witnessed selective bargain hunting at lower valuations. The Auto, Realty, and Consumer Durables sectors attracted solid buying interest, helping the Nifty successfully defend the psychological 23,000 mark.
  
  

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and Nifty IT index have underperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -2.07 percent.

The Nifty Index is down -0.88 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe

20   EMA - 23518

50   DMA - 23994

200 DMA - 24417

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels

Open - 23330.20

Low -   23020.95

High -  23489.00

Close - 23140.50

Nifty closed below 50 DMA, 50 EMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is positive +0.01 percent and Model 3 is negative -1.59 percent. 

Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +0.89 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +0.48 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -2.94 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In August 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned +5.6 percent, and +1.6 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -1.2 percent return.

In August 2026, the Nifty Long-Short is down -3.2 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2025-2026 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -11.18%, +16.88% and -9.53% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of -5.05%.

 

Year To Date - 2026

Models 1 and 3 returned +9.50 percent and -3.34 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -11.44 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -25.25 percent, compared to the Index's -11.44 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 256.74 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 114.21 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 430 percent on the capital and 796 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +157.18%, compared to 121.45% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 

Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.

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