Portfolio Health Assessment - (5th May 2025 - 9th May 2025)

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

This week India has avenged Pahalgam attack by hitting terrorist target inside Pakistan by doing air strike. Post that tension between both Indian and Pakistan is very high and there might be the possibility of the war. Market is reacting to this news and closed around 24000 mark this week. We have not seen massive panic selling yet. On Friday the Nifty Index was down around 1% but broader market remains stable. FIIs are buying continuously from last 15 days. The GST collection for April 2025 comes at ₹2.37 lakh crore (up 12.6% YoY), which represent the healthy growth. India March’s CPI inflation dropped to 3.34% from 3.61% In February. RBI has reduced the repo rate by 25bps to 6% in April 2025 policy meet and change the policy stands to accommodative. Globally, the US GDP contracted for Q1 2025 at -0.3%, which is way below the forecasted number. The US CPI reduced to 2.4% in March compared to 2.8% in February. In the US inflation is coming down and unemployment rate is also increasing a bit. The Fed has maintained the policy rate and forecasted 50 bps cut for 2025 with inflation predication of 2.7%. With lower GDP print and timid inflation it might be possible that FED might go for aggressive rate cut if the tariff issue gets solved quickly.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has underperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has
 outperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -0.90 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -1.39 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 23981
50   DMA - 23253
200 DMA - 24044

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 24419.50
Low -   23935.75
High -  24526.40
Close - 24008.00

Nifty closed below 200 DMA and above 50 DMA & 20 EMA suggesting no clear trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -0.45 percent and Model 3 is down -0.45 percent. 

Model 1 and Model 3 have outperformed the Index by +0.94 percent and +0.45 percent respectively.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +1.02 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In April 2025Models 1 and 3 returned +0.3 percent, and +5.4 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +3.5 percent return.

In April 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is up +17.3 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+45%, and +76% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -15.40 percent and -13.33 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's +1.54 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +49.03 percent, compared to the Index's +1.54 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 236 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 122 percent over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 700 percent on the capital and 1296 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +117%, compared to 94% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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