Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: FEB 20, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian stock market witnessed a highly volatile week, characterized by a steady climb in the first three days, followed by a sharp crash on Thursday due to geopolitical tensions, and a partial recovery on Friday. Despite the mid-week turbulence, the benchmark indices managed to close marginally higher week-on-week.

Key Market Triggers

Geopolitics: The flare-up between the US and Iran was the primary trigger for Thursday's sell-off, pushing Brent crude prices above $71/barrel and raising concerns about India's oil import bill.

IT Sector: Saw volatility with early gains driven by news like Infosys' partnership with Anthropic, but faced selling pressure later in the week.

Oil & Gas: Upstream companies like Oil India (+5%) and ONGC rallied on rising crude prices, while oil marketing companies (HPCL, BPCL) faced pressure due to margin concerns.

WPI Inflation Spike: India's WPI inflation for January 2026 surged to a 9-month high of 1.81%, up significantly from 0.83% in December.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has underperformed massively to the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down +0.13 percent.
The Nifty Index is up +0.39 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25634
50   DMA - 25742
200 DMA - 25324

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 25423.60
Low -   25372.70
High -  25885.30
Close - 25571.25

Nifty closed below 20 EMA & 50 DMA suggesting short term down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -0.90 percent and Model 3 is up +2.41 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -1.29 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +2.28 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -7.39 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.


In January 2026Models 1 and 3 returned +0.7 percent, and -1.5 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -3.10 percent return.

In January 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is up +12.12 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%+7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -1.63 percent and +0.37 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -2.14 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -11.78 percent, compared to the Index's -2.14 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 220 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 137 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 526 percent on the capital and 974 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +167%, compared to 116% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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