Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: September 18, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:

The Indian equity markets extended their losing streak for the fifth consecutive week, ending with a cautious and range-bound session on Friday. Despite some intraday recovery attempts fueled by easing crude oil prices, the frontline indices closed the week with moderate losses, weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows, a notable sell-off in the IT sector, and the overarching macroeconomic impact of a US Federal Reserve rate hike.

Key Market Triggers

• US Fed Rate Hike: The US Federal Reserve's decision to hike interest rates significantly impacted global investor sentiment, keeping the US dollar strong and triggering a sharp drop in gold prices. The move kept pressure on emerging market equities, reinforcing a "sell on rise" mentality.
• Easing Crude Oil Concerns: Providing some much-needed relief to the markets, Brent crude prices softened back toward the $100–$105 per barrel range following reports that Saudi Arabia could route additional supply through alternative export channels, helping to ease immediate inflation fears.
• FII Selling vs. DII Buying: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) remained aggressive net sellers for the seventh consecutive session, draining liquidity. However, this was fiercely countered by Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs), who continued a remarkable buying streak for a 27th consecutive session, preventing a steeper market collapse and absorbing the foreign outflows.
• IT Sector Drag: Heavyweight Information Technology stocks faced significant selling pressure, particularly on Friday. TCS dropped over 3%, with Tech Mahindra and Infosys also experiencing notable weakness, effectively capping the broader market's upside attempts.
  
  

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and Nifty IT index have underperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is flat -0.01 percent.

The Nifty Index is down -0.22 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe

20   EMA - 23683

50   DMA - 24079

200 DMA - 24487

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels

Open - 23576.15

Low -   23116.10

High -  23592.85

Close - 23346.40

Nifty closed below 50 DMA, 50 EMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is negative -1.86 percent and Model 3 is negative -0.95 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -1.64 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -0.94 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +1.60 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In August 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned +5.6 percent, and +1.6 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -1.2 percent return.

In August 2026, the Nifty Long-Short is down -3.2 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2025-2026 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -11.18%, +16.88% and -9.53% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of -5.05%.

 

Year To Date - 2026

Models 1 and 3 returned +9.52 percent and -1.77 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -10.65 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -22.99 percent, compared to the Index's -10.65 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 256.79 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 116.12 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 446 percent on the capital and 826 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +161.35%, compared to 126.12% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 

Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.

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