Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: September 11, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:

The equity markets extended their losing streak for yet another week, culminating in a highly volatile "Freaky Friday" session where indices crashed in early trade before paring some of their losses by the close. Mirroring weak global trends, surging US bond yields (with the 10-year approaching the 5% mark), and heightened geopolitical anxieties that pushed Brent crude above $108 per barrel, both frontline indices suffered heavy structural damage.

Key Market Triggers

• Geopolitics & Crude Oil Spike: Headwinds intensified significantly due to the escalation of the US-Iran conflict in the Middle East. Brent crude shot up to around $108 per barrel, raising serious concerns regarding India's import bill, inflation, and corporate earnings trajectory.
• US Bond Yields & Inflation: A primary driver of the global equity correction is the rise in US bond yields. The US 10-year yield approached the critical 5% mark (touching 4.98%), driven by hotter-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) data. This has heightened market nervousness regarding a potential rate hike by the US Federal Reserve next week.
• Primary Market Liquidity Drain: The booming Indian IPO market continues to draw massive retail and institutional interest. Heavy oversubscriptions and attractive listing gains have essentially sucked substantial liquidity away from the secondary equity markets.
• Foreign Outflows: Rising US bond yields and a depreciating rupee (which slipped past 95.70 against the US dollar) triggered significant foreign capital outflows throughout the week, further dampening sentiment.
  
  

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and Nifty IT index has underperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -1.40 percent.

The Nifty Index is down -2.09 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe

20   EMA - 23898

50   DMA - 24153

200 DMA - 24544

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels

Open - 23883.15

Low -   23231.40

High -  243890.00

Close - 23398.10

Nifty closed below 50 DMA, 50 EMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is positive +2.82 percent and Model 3 is positive +0.56 percent. 

Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +4.91 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +1.96 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +7.90 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In August 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned +5.6 percent, and +1.6 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -1.2 percent return.

In August 2026, the Nifty Long-Short is down -3.2 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2025-2026 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -11.18%, +16.88% and -9.53% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of -5.05%.

 

Year To Date - 2026

Models 1 and 3 returned +11.59 percent and -0.82 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -10.45 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -24.20 percent, compared to the Index's -10.45 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 263.55 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 116.59 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 438 percent on the capital and 811 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +163.87%, compared to 126.14% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 

Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.

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