Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: July 4, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:

The Indian stock market extended its winning streak for a third consecutive week, with bulls taking decisive charge heading into the weekend. A combination of softer US economic data, steadying crude oil prices, and a massive resurgence in IT stocks propelled benchmark indices to close near their weekly highs on Friday, July 3.

Key Market Triggers

• Weak US Labor Data Spawns Rate Cut Hopes: The US economy added only 57K jobs in June (well below the forecasted 110K). This softer-than-expected data drastically increased market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting. This sent a risk-on signal across global equities and weakened the dollar index.
• Geopolitical Stabilization: Global market anxiety cooled noticeably, with the India VIX dropping to 11.91 as tensions in the Middle East stabilized. Increased tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and steady crude oil prices (with Brent crude hovering around $71.84/bbl) provided a comfortable macroeconomic backdrop for Indian markets.
• Services PMI Cools but Stays in Expansion: India's HSBC Services PMI eased to 57.4 in June (down from 59.8 in May). While marking a 17-month low in the pace of expansion, it remained well above the 50-point threshold, indicating sustained underlying strength in the domestic economy despite somewhat softer client demand.
  
  

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and Nifty IT index have underperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is up +0.64 percent.

The Nifty Index is up +0.89 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe

20   EMA - 23913

50   DMA - 23823

200 DMA - 24869

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels

Open - 24061.75

Low -   23829.20

High -  24378.15

Close - 24270.85

Nifty closed above 20 EMA & 50 DMA, and below 200 DMA suggesting short term up trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is negative -0.11 percent and Model 3 is negative -0.52 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -1.00 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -1.16 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +2.26 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In June 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned +8.2 percent, and +0.6 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +1.4 percent return.

In June 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is Up +4.8 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2025-2026 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -11.18%, +16.88% and -9.53% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of -5.05%.

 

Year To Date - 2026

Models 1 and 3 returned +10.21 percent and -2.86 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -7.11 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -21.20 percent, compared to the Index's -7.11 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 259.06 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 124.67 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 459 percent on the capital and 850 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +158.46%, compared to 126.12% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 

Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.

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