Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: MAR 6, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian stock market experienced one of its worst weeks in nearly four years between March 9 and March 13, 2026, with the Nifty 50 declining over 5% and approximately ₹20 lakh crore in investor wealth being wiped out. The severe downturn was primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and surging global crude oil prices.

Key Market Triggers

Crude Oil Price Surge (~30% Rally) :- Brent crude prices rallied roughly 30% over the week on the back of escalating Middle East conflict, severely hitting India as an import-dependent nation. Crude-sensitive sectors — oil marketing companies, airlines, paints, and chemicals — were among the worst performers, and the sharp spike in energy costs threatened corporate margins broadly.

Middle East Geopolitical Escalation (Iran / Strait of Hormuz) :- Iran stepped up attacks on energy and transportation infrastructure in the Gulf, raising fears of a supply disruption at the Strait of Hormuz. This drove both the crude price rally and a global risk-off sentiment.

Rupee Depreciation :- The Indian rupee weakened sharply beyond ₹92.30 per USD as surging oil prices expanded India's import bill and increased dollar demand. 

Banking & Auto Sector Led Declines:- Nifty Bank fell ~4% on Monday alone, with all banking constituents in the red as investors braced for higher funding costs and tighter liquidity.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has underperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has outperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -4.59 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -5.31 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 24656
50   DMA - 25358
200 DMA - 25317

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 23868.05
Low -   23112.00
High -  24303.80
Close - 23151.10

Nifty closed below 20 EMA, 50 DMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -5.33 percent and Model 3 is down -7.77 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -0.02 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -3.18 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -15.42 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In February 2026Models 1 and 3 returned -1 percent, and +3.4 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -0.6 percent return.

In February 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -16.6 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%+7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -8.68 percent and -8.54 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -11.40 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -18.62 percent, compared to the Index's -11.40 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 198 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 114 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 477 percent on the capital and 883 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +143%, compared to 99% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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