Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: JAN 9, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian stock market endured a challenging week, snapping a two-week winning streak and recording its worst weekly performance in over three months. Both benchmark indices declined significantly amid escalating geopolitical tensions, foreign investor outflows, and trade uncertainty centered on potential US tariffs.

Key Market Triggers

Trade Tensions and Tariff Concerns: The primary catalyst for the sharp decline was heightened uncertainty about US-India trade relations. Reports of potential US tariffs on Indian goods—particularly threatening a 500% tariff on countries buying Russian oil—created significant risk aversion among investors.

Technical Breakdown: The Nifty 50 broke below critical support levels, falling below its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time in three months. The index also breached the 26,000 psychological level, triggering additional selling pressure.

Foreign Institutional Investor (FIIs) Selling: Consistent foreign investor outflows pressured equities throughout the week.

Rupee Depreciation and Currency Weakness : The rupee breached the 90 per dollar mark for the first time, becoming Asia's worst-performing currency with approximately 5% depreciation in 2025 and a further decline in early 2026. The rupee also depreciated over 19% against the euro and 14% against the British pound.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index have outperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -2.64 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -2.45 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 26026
50   DMA - 25963
200 DMA - 25052

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 26333.70
Low -   25623.00
High -  26373.20
Close - 25683.30

Nifty closed below 20 EMA & 50 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -3.33 percent and Model 3 is down -3.11 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -0.88 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -0.47 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +2.06 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In December 2025Models 1 and 3 returned +3.7 percent, and +1.7 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -0.30 percent return.

In December 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -10.6 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%+7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -2.03 percent and -1.42 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -1.71 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now +4.14 percent, compared to the Index's -1.71 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 219 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 138 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 639 percent on the capital and 1183 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +162%, compared to 117% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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