Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: DEC 19, 2025

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian stock market experienced a volatile week with a net decline followed by a strong Friday recovery. Both major indices closed the week marginally lower, though not before showing significant intraday weakness from Monday through Thursday. The week was driven more by global cues (Fed/US data watch and global risk sentiment) and domestic regulatory expectations (SEBI board meeting, flows) than by big local macro data prints.

Key Market Triggers

FPI Selling Pressure: Foreign institutional investors remained net sellers throughout the week, though selling moderated compared to earlier periods. FPI outflows created headwind for index performance.

Rupee Depreciation: INR weakened to around ₹90.61 per dollar, creating foreign exchange headwinds.

Domestic Institutional Support: DIIs remained consistent buyers, providing crucial support at lower levels, particularly on Friday.

RBI Dovish Signals: The Reserve Bank's recent rate cut and accommodative stance provided psychological support for buying on dips.

Global Recovery: US market gains on Friday, particularly in technology stocks and equity indices, boosted risk sentiment in Asia.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has underperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has outperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is up +0.04 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -0.31 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25931
50   DMA - 25836
200 DMA - 24801

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 25930.05
Low -   25726.30
High -  26047.15
Close - 25966.40

Nifty closed above 20 EMA, 50 DMA & 200 DMA suggesting up trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -0.54 percent and Model 3 is down -0.59 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -0.23 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -0.63 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -1.77 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In November 2025Models 1 and 3 returned -3.10 percent, and +5.90 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +1.90 percent return.

In November 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -2.90 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+45%, and +76% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -22.92 percent and +3.64 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's +9.82 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +35.14 percent, compared to the Index's +9.82 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 206 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 140 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 625 percent on the capital and 1157 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +159%, compared to 119% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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