Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: DEC 5, 2025

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian equity market spent most of the week consolidating near record highs, with benchmarks ending the week largely flat to marginally negative, despite heavy foreign selling, a sharply weaker rupee, and volatility ahead of and around the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decision. A 25 bps RBI repo rate cut to 5.25% on Friday sparked a relief rally in rate sensitive and large-cap names, helping the Sensex and Nifty 50 close the week holding comfortably above the psychologically important 85,000 and 26,000 levels, respectively. Under the surface, leadership remained with large caps, particularly banks, NBFCs, IT and metals, while midcaps were mixed and small caps lagged, reflecting a “quality and liquidity” bias in a backdrop of FPI outflows and currency pressure.

Key Market Triggers

RBI Monetary Policy: The RBI's rate cut decision on Friday was the dominant driver of the week. This reduction represents the fourth cut in 2025, bringing the cumulative reduction from 6.25% in February to 5.25% by December. The decision was underpinned by declining retail inflation trends, despite strong GDP growth indicators. The RBI revised its FY26 GDP growth forecast to 7.3%, reflecting resilient economic performance.

Currency Depreciation: The Indian rupee's weakness to record lows created headwinds throughout most of the week, impacting investor sentiment and foreign institutional flows. This depreciation has made the rupee one of Asia's poorest-performing currencies in 2025, declining approximately 4-5% year-to-date.

Global Cues: Uncertainty regarding US trade policy and expectations for Federal Reserve rate decisions influenced market sentiment throughout the week.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index have outperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -0.73 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -0.06 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25995
50   DMA - 25633
200 DMA - 24647

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 26325.80
Low -   25891.00
High -  26325.80
Close - 26186.45

Nifty closed above 20 EMA, 50 DMA & 200 DMA suggesting up trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -0.26 percent and Model 3 is down -0.33 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -0.20 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +0.40 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -3.20 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In November 2025Models 1 and 3 returned -3.10 percent, and +5.90 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +1.90 percent return.

In November 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -2.90 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+45%, and +76% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -21.11 percent and +4.40 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's +10.75 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +43.13 percent, compared to the Index's +10.75 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 213 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 142 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 668 percent on the capital and 1237 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +161%, compared to 120% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
________________________________________________________________________________________________

Looking to invest? You can find our terms of service here. Or you can write to us and we will get back to you