Portfolio Health Assessment - (2nd June 2025 - 6th June 2025)

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Weekly Market Update: Nifty Crosses 25,000 on RBI Boost

This week, the Nifty Index showed signs of consolidation but ended on a strong note by closing above the 25,000 mark on Friday, driven by positive developments from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

The RBI announced a 50 bps cut in the repo rate to 5.5% and an unexpected reduction in the CRR from 4% to 3%, injecting approximately ₹2.5 trillion in liquidity into the banking system. While the CRR cut is seen as a positive move for economic growth as it helps transmit rate cut effectively, the RBI also shifted its policy stance from Accommodative to Neutral, indicating a pause in the rate-cut cycle for now.

Key macroeconomic highlights:

  • Inflation Outlook: RBI revised its FY26 CPI inflation forecast down by 30 bps to 3.7%. A sustained downward trend in inflation could open the door for further rate cuts in FY26.
  • GDP Growth: India's Q4 FY25 GDP growth stood at 7.4%, outperforming the expected 6.8%. The full-year GDP growth for FY25 came in at 6.5%, in line with initial projections.
  • GST Collections: May 2025 collections reached ₹2.01 lakh crore, up 20.6% YoY, reflecting robust economic activity.
  • Inflation: April CPI inflation dropped to 3.16% from 3.34% in March.

Global Snapshot:

  • US Economy: Q1 2025 GDP contracted by -0.3%, significantly below forecasts. CPI inflation eased to 2.3% in April, down from 2.4% in March, while unemployment edged up slightly.
  • Fed Outlook: The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and projected 50 bps in rate cuts for 2025, with an inflation target of 2.7%.


Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has underperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is up +2.77 percent.
The Nifty Index is up +1.02 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 24675
50   DMA - 24137
200 DMA - 24076

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 24669.70
Low -   24502.15
High -  25029.50
Close - 25003.05

Nifty closed above 200 DMA, 50 DMA and 20 EMA suggesting up trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is up +1.71 percent and Model 3 is up +3.77 percent. 

Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +0.69 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +1.00 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +1.50 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In May 2025Models 1 and 3 returned +2 percent, and +10.4 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +1.7 percent return.

In May 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -9.3 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+45%, and +76% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -12.51percent and +0.48 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's +5.74 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +35.53 percent, compared to the Index's +5.74 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 247 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 131 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 627 percent on the capital and 1161 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +151%, compared to 115% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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