Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: FEB 13, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
The Indian stock market witnessed a volatile week, beginning with a strong "risk-on" rally that eventually succumbed to a sharp sell-off by Friday. The market initially gained momentum following an interim India-US trade framework and strong Q3 earnings, particularly from State Bank of India (SBI). However, the week ended in a "bloodbath" on Friday, with benchmark indices plunging over 1% due to a global tech rout and heavy selling in the IT sector.

Key Market Triggers

Heavy selling in IT: Nifty IT fell about 6.9% for the week, as concerns over global tech spending and AI‑driven disruption triggered long‑term growth worries, capping any broader index upside.

India-US Trade Framework: An interim deal cutting reciprocal tariffs to roughly 18% initially boosted export-oriented sectors like automotive parts, jewelry, and pharma.

SBI Earnings Surge: SBI reported a 24% YoY growth in Q3 net profit, causing its stock to rally over 7% early in the week and supporting the PSU Bank index.

Macro Indicators: Domestic CPI inflation for January was reported at 2.7%, while the RBI maintained a neutral policy stance with the repo rate at 5.25%.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has underperformed massively to the Nifty Index 
this week. Nifty IT Index is almost down 15% in last two weeks.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -0.11 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -0.87 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25631
50   DMA - 25772
200 DMA - 25293

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 25888.70
Low -   25444.30
High -  26009.40
Close - 25471.10

Nifty closed below 20 EMA & 50 DMA suggesting short term down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is up +1.18 percent and Model 3 is up +0.33 percent. 

Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +2.05 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +0.44 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -0.24 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.


In January 2026Models 1 and 3 returned +0.7 percent, and -1.5 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -3.10 percent return.

In January 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is up +12.12 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%+7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -0.72 percent and -1.98 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -0.87 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now -4.73 percent, compared to the Index's -0.87 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 223 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 136 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 576 percent on the capital and 1067 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +161%, compared to 116% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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