Portfolio Links
Model 1 Performance (To know more about it click here)
Model 3 Performance (To know more about it click here)
Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance (To know more about it click here)
Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart
Equity Markets:
Indian equities saw a volatile but net positive shortened week, with a three-day rebound followed by profit-booking ahead of the Union Budget 2026. The Sensex and Nifty 50 recovered a part of the prior week’s sharp losses, but January still ended as the worst month since February 2025 for headline indices. Indian stock market is open on 1st Feb 2026 (Sunday) on the occasion of Union Budget. Broader markets outperformed: Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices gained more than the frontline indices, with strong market breadth and aggressive rotation into cyclicals.
Key Market Triggers
Union Budget 2026 Anticipation: The impending presentation of the Union Budget 2026 on February 1, 2026, dominated market sentiment throughout the week. Investors remained cautious ahead of the budget, leading to profit-booking on Friday after three days of gains.
Mixed Global Cues and Tech Sector Weakness: Global markets traded with mixed sentiment, particularly as US tech stocks witnessed declines. The decision regarding the new US Federal Reserve chair added to global uncertainty, negatively impacting sentiment on Friday.
Q3 Earnings Season Momentum: The ongoing Q3 FY26 earnings season provided selective support, with several companies announcing robust results during the week.
Rupee Weakness and Currency Concerns: The Indian rupee continued to weaken, sinking to a record closing low against the US dollar on Friday, adding to market concerns. The currency depreciation raised worries about imported inflation and its impact on corporate margins.
Sectoral Rotation and Profit Booking: A notable rotation was observed from defensive sectors like FMCG into cyclical sectors such as metals and energy. Profit-booking in consumer names like Tata Consumer, Asian Paints, and Hindustan Unilever occurred as investors repositioned portfolios ahead of the budget.
Weekly recap:
The Bank Nifty Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has underperformed the Nifty Index this week.This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is up +2.25 percent.
The Nifty Index is up +1.09 percent.
Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20 EMA - 25545
50 DMA - 25876
200 DMA - 25199
Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 25063.35
Low - 24932.55
High - 25458.15
Close - 25320.65
Nifty closed below 20 EMA, 50 DMA & above 200 DMA suggesting short term down trend in the Nifty Index.
Model 1 & Model 3
This week, Model 1 is up +2.45 percent and Model 3 is up +1.46 percent.
Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +1.36 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -0.79 percent.
Nifty Long-Short
The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -0.53 percent this week.
Next Week Update
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The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.
Long-term Performance Summary
*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.
In January 2026, Models 1 and 3 returned +0.7 percent, and -1.5 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -3.10 percent return.
In January 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is up +12.12 percent.
For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%, +7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%.
For Financial Year 2024-2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
For Financial Year 2024-2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
Year To Date - 2025
Models 1 and 3 returned +0.74 percent and -1.50 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -3.10 percent return for 2026.
The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now +12.12 percent, compared to the Index's -3.10 percent.
Summary since inception
Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 228 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 134 percent over the same time span.
Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 696 percent on the capital and 1289 percent on the margin money.
Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020.
Since the inception, Model 3 is up +162%, compared to 112% for the Nifty Midcap Index.
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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