Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: JAN 23, 2026

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
Indian equity markets had a rough week, with the Nifty 50 closing at 25,048.65, erasing nearly ₹14 lakh crore in investor wealth over consecutive losing sessions. The week started with a sharp 1.3% drop on Monday driven by weak global cues and broad-based selling, and the slide continued through Thursday with the Sensex shedding over 1,660 points across the last three sessions. On Friday, Nifty slipped 241 points (0.95%), weighed by losses in Adani Ports (-7%), Eternal (-6%), and banking/realty names. India VIX spiked over 7%, reflecting heightened volatility and risk-off sentiment. Midcap and Smallcap indices also declined.

Key Market Triggers

Global uncertainty & weak cues: Asian markets traded mostly in the red, with Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng closing lower, dragging Indian benchmarks down.

Trump tariff threats: Concerns over potential 10–25% US tariffs on Indian exports and broader trade tensions kept risk appetite subdued.

Sustained FII selling: Foreign institutional investors continued heavy outflows, pressuring large-cap and banking stocks throughout the week.

Mixed Q3 earnings: Uneven corporate earnings added to volatility; while some IT and PSU banks beat estimates, other sectors disappointed, triggering selective selling.

Pre-Budget caution: Investors remained cautious ahead of the Union Budget 2026 (early February), limiting fresh buying interest.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index has underperformed the Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index has outperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -4.55 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -2.51 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25656
50   DMA - 25925
200 DMA - 25143

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 25653.10
Low -   24919.80
High -  25653.30
Close - 25048.65

Nifty closed below 20 EMA, 50 DMA & 200 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -1.32 percent and Model 3 is down -2.63 percent. 

Model 1 has outperformed the Index by +1.19 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by +1.92 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +7.72 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In December 2025Models 1 and 3 returned +3.7 percent, and +1.7 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -0.30 percent return.

In December 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -10.6 percent.

For the Year 2025 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -18%+7%, and +32% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +11%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -1.67 percent and -2.86 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -4.14 percent return for 2026.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2026) is now +12.95 percent, compared to the Index's -4.14 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 220 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 132 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 701 percent on the capital and 1298 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +158%, compared to 108% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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