Weekly Market Analysis & Algo Performance: DEC 12, 2025

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

Equity Markets:
Nifty 50 and Sensex were choppy but broadly range-bound this week, ending near the 26,000 and 85,250 marks respectively, implying mildly negative returns versus the prior week. Overall tone was one of consolidation near record highs, with RBI’s recent rate cut and global cues keeping downside contained but also prompting intermittent profit booking across high-beta pockets

Key Market Triggers

RBI Rate Cut Impact: The RBI's 25 basis point rate cut on December 5 initially sparked profit-booking, with traders questioning the long-term effectiveness of rate cuts in spurring credit demand.

US Federal Reserve Action: The US Fed's rate cut on December 11 significantly boosted market sentiment. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a potential pause in the easing cycle, adding some caution to the rally. Analysts view this as a potential catalyst for reversing FPI outflows, as lower US yields typically push investors toward emerging markets like India.

Foreign Portfolio Investor (FPI) Outflows: FPIs remained net sellers throughout most of the week, withdrawing approximately ₹11,820 crore in the first week of December, primarily driven by rupee depreciation concerns and global uncertainty. The total FPI outflow for 2025 reached ₹1.55 lakh crore. However, by December 12, FPI selling moderated, with approximately ₹2,021 crore in net outflows, and domestic institutional investors turned net buyers with ₹3,796 crore inflows.

Weekly recap:

The Bank Nifty Index and the Nifty IT index have underperformed the Nifty Index 
this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -0.51 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -0.53 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 25960
50   DMA - 25746
200 DMA - 24721

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 26159.80
Low -   25693.25
High -  26178.70
Close - 26046.95

Nifty closed above 20 EMA, 50 DMA & 200 DMA suggesting up trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -1.41 percent and Model 3 is down -0.12 percent. 

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -0.88 percent and Model 3 has outperformed the Index by -0.39 percent.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a negative result of -3.84 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Long.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In November 2025Models 1 and 3 returned -3.10 percent, and +5.90 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's +1.90 percent return.

In November 2025, the Nifty Long-Short is down -2.90 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+45%, and +76% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For Financial Year 2024-2025 
Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned -2.75%, +10.33% and +147.49% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +5.34%.
 

Year To Date - 2025

Models 1 and 3 returned -22.22 percent and +4.27 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's +10.16 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +37.63 percent, compared to the Index's +10.16 percent.

Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 209 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 141 percent  over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 639 percent on the capital and 1183 percent on the margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. 

Since the inception, Model 3 is up +161%, compared to 119% for the Nifty Midcap Index. 
Model 3 has been operational since July 12th, 2021.
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